47 Tech Predictions, 18 Months Later: The Public Scoreboard
Security Boulevard, Wednesday, June 10th, 2026
The author scores 47 tech predictions made in 2024, getting 60% right and arguing pundits should be publicly accountable.
Eighteen months after making 47 tech predictions in February 2024, the author publishes a scoreboard: 28 right (60%), 9 wrong (19%), and 10 still pending.
The piece criticizes most tech predictions as clickbait with no accountability, noting that pundits who got prior calls wrong keep issuing new ones without acknowledging misses, which the author considers intellectually dishonest.
To counter this, the author logged predictions publicly, dated them, and committed to scoring them openly. The article serves as a transparent self-audit of forecasting accuracy.